Federal Employee Retirement Savings Target Calculator (2026)
Generic retirement calculators ignore the most important variable for federal employees: your guaranteed FERS pension. Because FERS provides a fixed income floor, your TSP savings target is much lower than what a private-sector worker with the same salary needs. This calculator accounts for that — it starts with your income goal, subtracts your pension and Social Security, and tells you exactly how much TSP you need to fund the gap.
Why the FERS pension changes everything
The "you need 25× your annual spending in retirement savings" rule (the inverse of the 4% SWR) was built for private-sector workers with no pension. For federal employees, the FERS pension is the equivalent of having already "saved" a large lump sum — you just don't see it on your statement.
The 4% safe withdrawal rate
The 4% rule comes from the Trinity Study (1998, updated 2011) and subsequent research by Bengen, Morningstar, and Kitces: a portfolio withdrawing 4% of its initial balance annually (adjusted for inflation each year) has historically sustained withdrawals for 30 years in nearly all historical market environments, including the Great Depression and 1970s stagflation.1
For federal retirees, who typically retire at 55–62 and have 30–35 year horizons, 4% is reasonable but conservative. The pension and Social Security guarantee income regardless of sequence-of-returns risk, which means your TSP is less exposed to bad early market conditions than a private-sector retiree's portfolio — so 4% may actually be conservative for you. A federal benefits specialist can run a Monte Carlo analysis on your specific income mix.
FERS supplement: the bridge before Social Security
If you retire before age 62, the FERS Special Retirement Supplement provides income approximating what Social Security will pay — but only until you reach 62, at which point it stops entirely regardless of when you file for actual SS. The supplement is subject to the 2026 earnings test ($24,480 exempt).2
This calculator shows steady-state income (pension + SS + TSP). If you're retiring before 62, the supplement replaces some or all of your SS income before age 62. Use the FERS Supplement Calculator to estimate your supplement amount, then use the Social Security Timing Calculator to see the income gap between age 62 (when supplement ends) and when you actually start SS.
TSP contribution limits (2026)
The IRS sets annual limits on TSP contributions. Agency match does not count against your employee limit.3
- Under 50: $24,500/yr employee elective deferral limit
- Age 50–59 and 64+: $24,500 base + $8,000 catch-up = $32,500/yr
- Age 60–63 (super catch-up, SECURE 2.0 § 109): $24,500 + $11,250 = $35,750/yr
If the gap-closing calculation above requires a contribution that exceeds these limits, the only paths forward are to work longer, adjust your income goal, build other savings outside TSP (IRA, taxable brokerage), or accept a slightly lower withdrawal target from TSP.
What this calculator doesn't capture
- Inflation: TSP returns and pension COLAs are modeled in nominal (not real) terms. FERS COLA starts at age 62 and is typically 1 percentage point below CPI — plan for some purchasing-power erosion.
- Survivor annuity cost: A 50% survivor election reduces your FERS annuity by 10%. Run the Survivor Annuity Calculator to see the net annuity after survivor reduction and factor that into your pension input here.
- FEHB and Medicare costs: Federal health insurance continues in retirement, but premium conversion ends (premiums become post-tax). Use the Medicare Part B Calculator to assess whether adding Part B reduces your out-of-pocket costs enough to offset the premium.
- Taxes: FERS annuity is partially taxable (exclusion ratio via IRS Simplified Method); TSP traditional withdrawals are fully taxable; Roth TSP is tax-free. See the Federal Retirement Tax Estimator for an after-tax picture.
- Part-time or phased retirement: If you have part-time service, OPM applies a proration factor to your annuity. See the FERS Part-Time Retirement Guide.
Related tools and guides
- FERS Retirement Calculator — Estimate your FERS annuity, FERS supplement, and TSP income in an integrated model. Use the annuity output as your pension input here.
- TSP Balance Projection Calculator — Project your TSP balance year by year to retirement. Use the projected balance output to compare against the savings target from this calculator.
- FERS High-3 Salary Calculator — Model how a step increase or promotion changes your pension. A higher high-3 means a higher annuity, which reduces your TSP target.
- FERS Supplement Calculator — If retiring before 62, estimate your bridge income before Social Security begins.
- Federal Retirement Tax Estimator — See your after-tax retirement income across FERS annuity, TSP, and Social Security.
- TSP Contribution & Agency Match Calculator — Verify you are capturing the full 5% agency match before increasing contributions.
Get a personalized retirement income analysis
This calculator gives you the direction. A federal benefits specialist gives you the plan: your actual high-3 from your SF-50 history, the optimal retirement date, survivor annuity modeling, FEHB and Medicare coordination, and a complete after-tax income picture. Free match, fee-only advisors only.
- Kitces — The 4% Rule and Safe Withdrawal Rates in Retirement (kitces.com). The 4% withdrawal rate originated in Bengen (1994) and the Trinity Study (Cooley, Hubbard, Walz 1998, updated 2011). At 4%, a diversified 60/40 portfolio has historically sustained 30-year withdrawals in >95% of historical scenarios. Federal retirees with guaranteed pension and Social Security income are less exposed to sequence-of-returns risk than pure-portfolio retirees, making 4% a conservative (and reasonable) planning benchmark. Also: Morningstar Safe Withdrawal Rate Study (2024).
- OPM — FERS Special Retirement Supplement (opm.gov). The supplement ends at age 62 regardless of SS filing status. It is subject to an earnings test: for 2026, the exempt amount is $24,480 (SSA annual earnings test threshold); every $2 of earnings above that reduces the supplement by $1. Also: SSA — Earnings Test Amounts. Values verified June 2026.
- TSP.gov — Contribution Limits (tsp.gov). 2026 elective deferral: $24,500 base (IRS Rev. Proc. 2025-67); age-50 catch-up $8,000 (IRS Rev. Proc. 2025-67); ages 60–63 super catch-up $11,250 (SECURE 2.0 § 109, effective 2025). Agency matching contributions (up to 5% of basic pay for FERS employees) do not count against the elective deferral limit. Verified against TSP Bulletin 25-3, June 2026.
- OPM — FERS Annuity Computation (opm.gov). FERS basic annuity: high-3 average salary × 1.0% × years of creditable service (1.1% multiplier if retiring at age 62+ with 20+ years per 5 U.S.C. § 8415). Sick leave credit adds to service months but does not count toward the 20-year 1.1% threshold. FERS COLA: zero before age 62; diet COLA (CPI or CPI−1pp) after 62 per 5 U.S.C. § 8462. Values verified June 2026.
Safe withdrawal rate uses a 4% annual drawdown heuristic per financial planning literature. TSP contribution limits are per IRS Rev. Proc. 2025-67 and TSP Bulletin 25-3. FERS annuity formula per 5 U.S.C. § 8415 and OPM Computation guidance. Social Security FRA and benefit factors per SSA.gov (born 1960 or later: FRA = 67). All values verified as of June 2026.